OK, you've caught me. Web applications won't actually destroy anything. However, it is my professional opinion that they will indeed take over the planet, and ruthlessly pillage and plunder your operating system and it's insignificant villagers.
Web applications are going to eliminate the need for specific operating systems all together. Below you will find my extremely logical and informative reasons that this will happen. Maybe not now, maybe not ever, but soon.
Cross Platform
The internet is a crazy place. You can check stock markets, purchase items, communicate, store information, check the weather, watch TV, chat/network with friends, stumble around social media sites, play games, and this just in, almost all web applications are cross-platform.
This will eliminate the need for a single platform for applications. And actually limit the success capabilities of the single platform apps.
Making Software That Everyone Can Use Broadens Your Potential Market
Obviously, with Linux and Mac (especially) user percentages on the rise, applications that are web based and cross-platform can reach a broader market. If you create a standalone application only available for XP and Vista, you are essentially dropping your potential market for that product by approximately 10% by the current market share numbers.
As the gap between Windows installations and Mac installations decreases, more and more apps are going to either need to be developed for both platforms to address the needs of both users, or go the less expensive route and make a single web app that performs on both machines. Linux can be thrown in to this mix too, but lets be honest, Linux doesn't really matter just yet. Most Linux users are dual booting with Mac OS X , Windows, or both anyway.
Web Applications are Cheaper to Develop
It costs much less to develop an application in Java or PHP for instance, than it does to develop apps in Visual Studio. Server costs for PHP are relatively low, as it has a high-performance, low resource style to it.
Oh, and by the way, you know those boxes they put software in? The manuals? The CD's or DVD's? Those cost money. Sure it's not much per unit. But if you don't find that kind of money useful in some way, feel free to email me and send me what you don't need. I'll promise to waste it on lottery tickets and bad DVD rentals.
The Bandwidth Available to Residential Consumers is Increasing Rapidly
Sure, North America is no Japan, but lets be serious. That kind of speed is just nutty. Remember those commercials that stated that DSL was faster than cable because you don't share a connection? How the hell can that be true if the entire population of Japan, which might I remind you is approximately 125 million people, use their broadband connections on their country which is around 378,000 square km. For you American folk, that is smaller than Texas. Enough of that rant, I forgot I was supposed to be writing some kind of article here. Forgive me.
You might be saying to yourself, “Hey stupid, I can't play the latest and greatest games on this OS or that OS. I'll need to stick with XP/Vista”. On one hand you are correct. On the other, you are entirely wrong. Gamers aren't real people. So their opinion doesn't really matter in the real people world.
In all seriousness, I think games are probably one of the few things that will remain dependent on a specific operating system. Things could change much later, but for now the technology just isn't there to create a next-gen quality game for your computer in some kind of web application form. I sure hope this changes though, because quite frankly, I'm sick and tired of XP. I've found Linux and OS X to be much better overall operating systems, and I'd rather not be forced to use an operating system just to play games. And yes, I'm not a real person either.
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